4 signs the Bitcoin price rally could top out at $26K for now

bitcoin (BTC) received a substantial boost this week as the United States February inflation levels were in line with market expectations. On March 14, the BTC/USD pair reached a 2023 high of $26,550 after the news.

But while macro conditions may currently favor risk-on buyers, certain chain and market indicators point to a potential correction in the near term.

BTC flows back to exchanges as price rises

On March 13, Glassnode's exchange flow data recorded the most significant inflow to exchanges since May 2022. This means more supply on exchanges and potentially more selling pressure.

He days of coins destroyed indicator, which measures Bitcoin's time-weighted transfers, also shows a small spike, indicating that ancient hands are moving coins. Indicators could signal long-term holders booking profits, which may lead to a correction.

Bitcoin exchange network flow volume. Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin Funding Rates, RSI Jump

Furthermore, the funding rate of Bitcoin perpetual trades is also high. with the latest print of the Consumer Price Index. In other words, more traders are betting higher with leveraged positions, which increases the risk of a correction.

Funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts. Source: Coinglass

The strong price move has also seen a significant rise in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), an indicator of technical momentum, reading as high as 82. This means that BTC/USD is generally considered "overbought" in the short term.

BTC vs USD painting a bearish pattern

The BTC price is currently forming a widening wedge pattern, which represents the highest level of volatility. Both buyers and sellers are pushing the price beyond support and resistance levels, and reversals are coming quickly.

BTC/USD 4 hour price chart. Source: TradingView

Buyers failed to break out of the pattern on March 14 and now face resistance at its top of $26,700. At the same time, there is a chance that the price will correct towards the bottom of the pattern, around $19,500, in the coming days.

Conversely, if the price of Bitcoin breaks out of the upper trend line, the bulls are likely to accumulate to push the price towards $30,000. There are potentially welcome signs for bulls that this could happen, namely in the BTC futures and options markets.

As Cointelegraph reported, there's still room to runsince the indicators have not yet reached the previous maximum levels.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should do their own research when making a decision.