Analysts warn that Bitcoin could dip to $38K โ€˜before an eventual breakoutโ€™

The cryptocurrency market faced another day of weakness on January 18 when the price of Bitcoin (BTC) fell lower and additional pressure was also placed on the altcoin market. Currently, the Fear and Greed crypto index recorded โ€œExtreme Fearโ€ among investors and some traders are warning that the price of BTC could soon fall below its recent low of $39,000.

Fear and greed crypto index. Source: Alternative

Data of Markets Cointelegraph Pro Y TradingView It shows that the bulls lost control of the $42,000 support level during early trading hours on Tuesday as the bears hit BTC price to a daily low of $41,250.

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

January is historically weak for Bitcoin

Many cryptocurrency holders disappointed by the lack of a cap to close out 2021 were also expecting the fireworks to start in 2022, but historically speaking, January โ€œhas been one of the most disappointing months for BTC,โ€ according to a recent report. of Delphi. Digital.

BTC/USD normalized performance to date. Source: Delphi Digital

Delphi Digital pointed to โ€œa slowdown in global liquidity growth and tighter political expectationsโ€ as the main source of headwinds for Bitcoin and highlighted that these factors have also led to weakness in the stock market, which is seen as is strongly correlated with price. movements seen in BTC.

Another source of weakness identified by Delphi Digital was a lack of liquidity in the perpetual and futures markets coupled with a drop in BTC open interest over the past two months.

DelphiDigital said,

โ€œFor the most part, the price contraction was due to liquidity issues in the futures/perp market, triggering a series of sell-offs that exacerbated initial BTC price weakness.โ€

As for what comes next, Delphi Ditial indicated that โ€œshort-term momentum indicators seem to indicate that the worst may be behind usโ€ and the analyst noted that the Fear & Greed index is at levels not seen since May 2021. .

Related: Bitcoin hodlers 'under siege' at $42K as 30% of BTC supply flips from profit to loss

Bitcoin price could drop below $38,000

A similar trend of weakness was addressed by crypto market intelligence firm Decentrader, who noted that the number of overly optimistic โ€œI'm buying the dipโ€ traders on crypto Twitter was questioned around $41,000.

Analysts suggested that based on the size and consistency of BTC's drawdown over the past two months, "a move out of the bullish range is the most likely outcome eventually and they expect price" to run towards the 200DMA and breakdown point. in the summer at about $49,000 - $50,000."

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Decenterer

decenterer said,

โ€œWe think we may need to see something else that ranges between $44,000 and potentially $38,000 before an eventual breakout.โ€

For traders hit hard by this latest drop, Twitter user 'John Wick issued a positive outlook.

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization is now $1.976 trillion and the dominance rate of Bitcoin is 40%.

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