Bitcoin price stays near $23K as data shows hodlers not selling BTC

bitcoin (BTC) refused to give up earnings at the Wall Street open on January 23 as US stocks opened higher.

BTC/USD 1 hour candlestick chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Dollar Falls as Risk Assets Reject Pullback

Data of Cointelegraph Pro Markets Y TradingView it showed that BTC/USD was still hovering around $22,800 at the time of writing.

The pair managed to hold on to its trading range over the weekend, with a local low of $22,315 allowing bulls to avoid a major setback.

Mood remained upbeat among risk assets on the day, with the S&P 500 rising 1.3% and the Nasdaq Composite Index trading 2% higher.

Gold also disappointed those expecting a pullback after weeks of impressive performance, something analyst Alisdair McLeod blamed on classic supply-and-demand principles.

โ€œAttempts to push gold back continue to fail,โ€ he said. commented on the XAU/USD daily chart.

โ€œWhile technical analysts are signaling that a correction is due, they seem unaware that central banks are buying every ounce they can get their hands on.โ€

With that, an already declining US dollar index (DXY) managed only a modest rally at the open before returning to downtrend, hovering around 102 at time of writing.

US Dollar Index (DXY) 1 hour candlestick chart. Source: TradingView

Among Bitcoin analysts, the jury is out on whether the current rally really marked a turnaround after more than a year of bear market.

โ€œThere are signs that this could be the start of the bull, and there are also signs that it is a bear market rally. Until I see the confirmations, I'm focused on the data that matters, so I'll know if a potential breakout is a justifiable move or more likely to be a fake,โ€ Keith Alan, co-founder of on-chain data resource Material. Indicators, summarized.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Keith Alan/Twitter

Alan went on to point out that a particular macro trigger still needed to be entered to call bassists for time.

โ€œBased on the economic data we have seen so far, the upward trend in unemployment, which has historically bottomed out, is still missing,โ€ he wrote.

"Sure, maybe 'this time is different', but I'm looking at full candles above the 200-week moving average to consider it a confirmed breakout."

Alan was referring to Bitcoin's 200-week moving average, a key trend line that Bitcoin has yet to recover after losing support late last year.

BTC/USD (Bitstamp) 1-week candlestick chart with 200MA. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin Hodlers Resist the Temptation to Sell

With Bitcoin rising 40% in January, another point of concern centered on the temptation to take profit.

Related: BTC Metrics Come Out Of Capitulation: 5 Things To Know About Bitcoin This Week

In the latest issue of his weekly newsletter, "the week in chainHowever, research firm Glassnode noted that long-term holders remained steadfast in their determination not to exit the market, even after more than a year of losses.

"Cohort behavior analysis shows that short-term holders and miners have been motivated by the opportunity to liquidate a portion of their holdings. Conversely, supply from long-term holders continues to grow, which it can be argued that it is a sign of strength and conviction in this cohort," part of their conclusion read.

"Given the effect of long-term holders on the macro trend, watching their spending is probably a key set of tools to track in the coming weeks."

Long-term holders are defined as entities that hold currencies for at least 155 days.

Bitcoin short and long holders supply % on the annotated earnings chart (screenshot). Source: Glassnode

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